{"id":5895,"date":"2026-06-22T12:01:53","date_gmt":"2026-06-22T04:01:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/deepbule.store\/?p=5895"},"modified":"2026-06-22T12:01:53","modified_gmt":"2026-06-22T04:01:53","slug":"%e3%80%8a%e5%8d%9a%e5%bc%88%e8%ae%ba%e4%b8%8e%e7%bb%8f%e6%b5%8e%e8%a1%8c%e4%b8%ba%e3%80%8b%e8%af%bb%e4%b9%a6%e7%ac%94%e8%ae%b0-%e6%a0%b8%e5%bf%83%e8%a7%82%e7%82%b9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/deepbule.store\/?p=5895","title":{"rendered":"\u300a\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u884c\u4e3a\u300b\u8bfb\u4e66\u7b14\u8bb0 \u6838\u5fc3\u89c2\u70b9"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u7528\u6237\u8981\u6c42\u6211\u6839\u636e\u300a\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u884c\u4e3a\u300b\u8fd9\u672c\u4e66\u7684\u5185\u5bb9\uff0c\u4e25\u683c\u6309\u71677\u6bb5\u5f0f\u7ed3\u6784\u751f\u6210\u9605\u8bfb\u7b14\u8bb0\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8ba9\u6211\u5206\u6790\u7528\u6237\u63d0\u4f9b\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\uff1a
\n– \u4e66\u540d\uff1a\u300a\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u884c\u4e3a\u300b
\n– \u4f5c\u8005\uff1a\u51af\u00b7\u8bfa\u4f0a\u66fc\uff08John von Neumann\uff09\u4e0e\u6469\u6839\u65af\u987f\uff08Oskar Morgenstern\uff09
\n– \u8bd1\u8005\uff1a\u738b\u5b87\u3001\u738b\u6587\u7389
\n– \u51fa\u7248\u793e\uff1a\u751f\u6d3b\u00b7\u8bfb\u4e66\u00b7\u65b0\u77e5\u4e09\u8054\u4e66\u5e97
\n– \u51fa\u7248\u5e74\uff1a2004\u5e7412\u6708
\n– \u539f\u4e66\u540d\uff1aTheory of Games and Economic Behavior
\n– \u8bc4\u5206\uff1a8.5\u5206
\n– \u9875\u6570\uff1a1068\u9875
\n– \u8fd9\u662f\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u7684\u5f00\u5c71\u4e4b\u4f5c\uff0c60\u5468\u5e74\u7248<\/p>\n

\u4ece\u8c46\u74e3\u7b80\u4ecb\u4e2d\u63d0\u53d6\u7684\u5173\u952e\u4fe1\u606f\uff1a
\n– \u73b0\u4ee3\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u7684\u57fa\u77f3
\n– \u4e24\u4f4d\u4f5c\u8005\u6839\u636e\u7b56\u7565\u535a\u5f08\u7406\u8bba\u6784\u601d\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u793e\u4f1a\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u5f00\u521b\u6027\u6570\u5b66\u7406\u8bba
\n– \u5f7b\u5e95\u6539\u53d8\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66
\n– \u4ea7\u751f\u4e86\u5168\u65b0\u7684\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u7814\u7a76\u9886\u57df
\n– \u88ab\u5e7f\u6cdb\u5e94\u7528\u4e8e\u5206\u6790\u519b\u5907\u7ade\u8d5b\u3001\u603b\u7edf\u5019\u9009\u4eba\u3001\u75ab\u82d7\u63a5\u79cd\u653f\u7b56\u3001\u804c\u4e1a\u68d2\u7403\u5927\u8054\u76df\u5de5\u8d44\u8c08\u5224\u7b49
\n– 60\u5468\u5e74\u7248\u5305\u62ec\u539f\u6587\u3001HAROLD WILLIAM KUHN\u7684\u5e8f\u8a00\u3001ARIEL RUBINSTEIN\u7684\u540e\u8bb0\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u300a\u7ebd\u7ea6\u65f6\u62a5\u300b\u300a\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8bc4\u8bba\u300b\u4e0a\u7684\u8bc4\u8bba<\/p>\n

\u539f\u6587\u6458\u5f55\uff1a
\n1. “In the light of these remarks we may describe our own position as follows: The aim of this book lies not in the direction of empirical research. The advancement of that side of economic science, on anything like the scale which was recognized above as necessary, is clearly a task of vast proportions. It may be hoped that as a result of the improvements of scientific technique and of experience gained in other fields, the development of descriptive economics will not take as much time as the comparison with astronomy would suggest. But in any case the task seems to transcend the limits of any individually planned program. We shall attempt to utilize only some commonplace experience concerning human behavior which lends itself to mathematical treatment and which is of economic importance.”<\/p>\n

I’ll continue the thought by focusing on the systematic approach to understanding economic behavior through mathematical modeling. The authors aim to distill complex social interactions into quantifiable strategies, using rigorous mathematical frameworks to analyze decision-making processes. Their method involves breaking down human economic interactions into structured, analyzable components that can be systematically studied and predicted.<\/p>\n

The key insight emerges from recognizing that social phenomena mirror physics in complexity and variability. By acknowledging this parallel, we can develop more sophisticated mathematical tools to capture the nuanced dynamics of economic interactions. This requires moving beyond traditional physics-based approaches and creating novel mathematical techniques specifically tailored to the unique challenges of social and economic systems.<\/p>\n

The proposed strategy involves extracting fundamental, universally applicable principles of human behavior that can be mathematically formalized, enabling a more precise and predictive understanding of economic decision-making.
\n<\/p>\n

\u300a\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u884c\u4e3a\u300b\u9605\u8bfb\u7b14\u8bb0<\/h1>\n

\u4e00\u3001\u4f5c\u8005\u4e0e\u80cc\u666f<\/h2>\n

\u7ea6\u7ff0\u00b7\u51af\u00b7\u8bfa\u4f0a\u66fc\uff08John von Neumann\uff0c1903-1957\uff09\uff0c\u5308\u7259\u5229\u88d4\u7f8e\u56fd\u6570\u5b66\u5bb6\uff0c\u4e8c\u5341\u4e16\u7eaa\u6700\u5177\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u7684\u6570\u5b66\u5bb6\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u5728\u7eaf\u7cb9\u6570\u5b66\u3001\u5e94\u7528\u6570\u5b66\u3001\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u3001\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u7b49\u9886\u57df\u5747\u6709\u5353\u8d8a\u5efa\u6811\u3002\u4ed6\u4e0d\u4ec5\u5728\u5e0c\u5c14\u4f2f\u7279\u7a7a\u95f4\u7b97\u5b50\u7406\u8bba\u3001\u96c6\u5408\u8bba\u3001\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u67b6\u6784\u7b49\u5b66\u79d1\u5960\u57fa\u6027\u5de5\u4f5c\u4e2d\u7559\u4e0b\u6df1\u523b\u5370\u8bb0\uff0c\u66f4\u5728\u4e8c\u6218\u671f\u95f4\u53c2\u4e0e\u66fc\u54c8\u987f\u8ba1\u5212\uff0c\u5176\u201c\u51af\u00b7\u8bfa\u4f0a\u66fc\u7ed3\u6784\u201d\u5960\u5b9a\u4e86\u73b0\u4ee3\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u7684\u903b\u8f91\u57fa\u7840\u3002\u5965\u65af\u5361\u00b7\u6469\u6839\u65af\u987f\uff08Oskar Morgenstern\uff0c1902-1977\uff09\uff0c\u5fb7\u56fd\u51fa\u751f\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\uff0c\u4e13\u653b\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7406\u8bba\u4e0e\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\uff0c\u66fe\u4efb\u666e\u6797\u65af\u987f\u5927\u5b66\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u6559\u6388\uff0c\u4e0e\u51af\u00b7\u8bfa\u4f0a\u66fc\u7684\u5408\u4f5c\u4e3a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u4e0e\u6570\u5b66\u7684\u6df1\u5ea6\u878d\u5408\u5f00\u8f9f\u4e86\u65b0\u7eaa\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6b64\u4e66\u6210\u4e8e1944\u5e74\uff0c\u6b63\u503c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6b21\u4e16\u754c\u5927\u6218\u884c\u5c06\u7ed3\u675f\u4e4b\u9645\u3002\u6218\u4e89\u7684\u535a\u5f08\u6027\u8d28\u2014\u2014\u654c\u5bf9\u53cc\u65b9\u5728\u8d44\u6e90\u6709\u9650\u6761\u4ef6\u4e0b\u8fdb\u884c\u7b56\u7565\u9009\u62e9\u2014\u2014\u6df1\u523b\u5f71\u54cd\u4e86\u4f5c\u8005\u7684\u5b66\u672f\u5173\u6000\u3002\u5f7c\u65f6\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5c1a\u4ee5\u63cf\u8ff0\u6027\u5206\u6790\u548c\u5c40\u90e8\u5747\u8861\u7406\u8bba\u4e3a\u4e3b\uff0c\u7f3a\u4e4f\u5904\u7406\u591a\u4e3b\u4f53\u4e92\u52a8\u51b3\u7b56\u7684\u7edf\u4e00\u6846\u67b6\u3002\u51af\u00b7\u8bfa\u4f0a\u66fc\u4e0e\u6469\u6839\u65af\u987f\u51ed\u501f\u6df1\u539a\u7684\u6570\u5b66\u9020\u8be3\u4e0e\u654f\u9510\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u76f4\u89c9\uff0c\u5b8c\u6210\u4e86\u8fd9\u90e8\u5960\u57fa\u6027\u5de8\u8457\uff0c\u5ba3\u544a\u4e86\u73b0\u4ee3\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u7684\u8bde\u751f\u3002\u5168\u4e66\u4ee5\u4e25\u5bc6\u7684\u516c\u7406\u5316\u65b9\u6cd5\u6784\u5efa\u7406\u8bba\u4f53\u7cfb\uff0c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u4e3a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u5168\u65b0\u7684\u5206\u6790\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u66f4\u50ac\u751f\u4e86\u4e00\u95e8\u6a2a\u8de8\u6570\u5b66\u3001\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u3001\u653f\u6cbb\u5b66\u3001\u751f\u7269\u5b66\u3001\u793e\u4f1a\u5b66\u4e43\u81f3\u519b\u4e8b\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u6a2a\u65ad\u5b66\u79d1\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e8c\u3001\u6838\u5fc3\u5185\u5bb9<\/h2>\n

\u300a\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u884c\u4e3a\u300b\u65e8\u5728\u4e3a\u7b56\u7565\u4e92\u52a8\u60c5\u5883\u4e2d\u7684\u7406\u6027\u51b3\u7b56\u884c\u4e3a\u5efa\u7acb\u4e00\u5957\u4e25\u683c\u7684\u6570\u5b66\u7406\u8bba\u3002\u5168\u4e66\u5206\u4e3a\u4e94\u4e2a\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u9996\u90e8\u5206\u7cfb\u7edf\u9610\u8ff0\u4e8c\u4eba\u96f6\u548c\u535a\u5f08\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u7406\u8bba\uff0c\u5f15\u5165\u4e86\u6781\u5c0f\u6781\u5927\u5b9a\u7406\uff08Minimax Theorem\uff09\u2014\u2014\u8fd9\u4e00\u6838\u5fc3\u6210\u679c\u8bc1\u660e\uff1a\u5728\u5b8c\u5168\u7406\u6027\u3001\u5b8c\u5168\u4fe1\u606f\u7684\u96f6\u548c\u535a\u5f08\u4e2d\uff0c\u5b58\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u786e\u5b9a\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u7ec4\u5408\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u4e00\u65b9\u7684\u6700\u5927\u635f\u5931\u6070\u597d\u7b49\u4e8e\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u7684\u6700\u5c0f\u6536\u76ca\uff0c\u53cc\u65b9\u5747\u65e0\u6cd5\u901a\u8fc7\u5355\u65b9\u9762\u6539\u53d8\u7b56\u7565\u800c\u83b7\u5f97\u989d\u5916\u4f18\u52bf\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u5b9a\u7406\u4e0d\u4ec5\u5728\u6570\u5b66\u4e0a\u4f18\u7f8e\u7b80\u6d01\uff0c\u66f4\u5728\u54f2\u5b66\u4e0a\u63ed\u793a\u4e86\u7ade\u4e89\u4e0e\u5408\u4f5c\u7684\u6df1\u5c42\u7ed3\u6784\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7b2c\u4e8c\u90e8\u5206\u5c06\u7406\u8bba\u63a8\u5e7f\u81f3\u591a\u4eba\u535a\u5f08\u4e0e\u5408\u4f5c\u535a\u5f08\u9886\u57df\u3002\u4f5c\u8005\u5f15\u5165\u4e86\u7279\u5f81\u51fd\u6570\uff08characteristic function\uff09\u6765\u63cf\u8ff0\u8054\u76df\u7684\u5f62\u6210\u4e0e\u5206\u914d\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u5b9a\u4e49\u4e86\u6838\uff08core\uff09\u3001\u7a33\u5b9a\u96c6\uff08stable set\uff09\u7b49\u6838\u5fc3\u89e3\u6982\u5ff5\uff0c\u5e76\u63a2\u8ba8\u4e86\u8054\u76df\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\u4e0e\u5408\u7406\u5206\u914d\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5f20\u529b\u3002\u7b2c\u4e09\u90e8\u5206\u63a2\u8ba8\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u884c\u4e3a\u7684\u5177\u4f53\u8054\u7cfb\uff0c\u5c06\u4e00\u822c\u5747\u8861\u7406\u8bba\u7eb3\u5165\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u6846\u67b6\uff0c\u8003\u5bdf\u4e0d\u5b8c\u5168\u7ade\u4e89\u5e02\u573a\u4e2d\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u4e92\u52a8\u3002\u7b2c\u56db\u90e8\u5206\u5904\u7406\u4fe1\u606f\u7ed3\u6784\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u521d\u6b65\u6d89\u53ca\u4e0d\u5b8c\u5168\u4fe1\u606f\u535a\u5f08\u7684\u7406\u8bba\u57fa\u7840\u3002\u7b2c\u4e94\u90e8\u5206\u4e3a\u9644\u5f55\u4e0e\u6570\u5b66\u8865\u5145\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e66\u4e2d\uff0c\u51af\u00b7\u8bfa\u4f0a\u66fc\u4e0e\u6469\u6839\u65af\u987f\u660e\u786e\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u793e\u4f1a\u73b0\u8c61\u7684\u590d\u6742\u6027\u4e0e\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u582a\u6bd4\u7269\u7406\u5b66\uff0c\u4f46\u5904\u7406\u793e\u4f1a\u73b0\u8c61\u53ef\u80fd\u9700\u8981\u4e0e\u5fae\u79ef\u5206\u540c\u7b49\u91cf\u7ea7\u7684\u6570\u5b66\u521b\u65b0\u3002\u4f5c\u8005\u5766\u8bda\u5730\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u5e76\u975e\u7ecf\u9a8c\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u5c1d\u8bd5\u5c06\u90a3\u4e9b\u201c\u53ef\u88ab\u6570\u5b66\u5904\u7406\u4e14\u5177\u6709\u7ecf\u6d4e\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u7684\u4eba\u7c7b\u884c\u4e3a\u5e38\u8bc6\u201d\u5f62\u5f0f\u5316\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u5ba1\u614e\u7684\u5b9a\u4f4d\uff0c\u65e2\u4f53\u73b0\u4e86\u4f5c\u8005\u7684\u8c26\u900a\uff0c\u4e5f\u9884\u793a\u4e86\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u5e7f\u9614\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e09\u3001\u7cbe\u534e\u6458\u5f55<\/h2>\n
    \n
  1. \n

    \u201c\u672c\u4e66\u7684\u76ee\u7684\u4e0d\u5728\u4e8e\u7ecf\u9a8c\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u65b9\u5411\u3002\u5728\u4e0a\u8ff0\u5fc5\u8981\u89c4\u6a21\u4e0a\u63a8\u8fdb\u7ecf\u6d4e\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u90a3\u4e2a\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u663e\u7136\u662f\u4e00\u9879\u6781\u5176\u5e9e\u5927\u7684\u4efb\u52a1\u3002\u5e0c\u671b\u968f\u7740\u79d1\u5b66\u6280\u672f\u624b\u6bb5\u7684\u6539\u8fdb\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u9886\u57df\u79ef\u7d2f\u7684\u7ecf\u9a8c\uff0c\u63cf\u8ff0\u6027\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u4e0d\u9700\u8981\u50cf\u4e0e\u5929\u6587\u5b66\u7684\u7c7b\u6bd4\u6240\u6697\u793a\u7684\u90a3\u6837\u8017\u8d39\u592a\u591a\u65f6\u95f4\u3002\u4f46\u65e0\u8bba\u5982\u4f55\uff0c\u8fd9\u9879\u4efb\u52a1\u4f3c\u4e4e\u8d85\u51fa\u4e86\u4efb\u4f55\u4e2a\u4eba\u8ba1\u5212\u7684\u8303\u56f4\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u5c1d\u8bd5\u5229\u7528\u4e00\u4e9b\u5173\u4e8e\u4eba\u7c7b\u884c\u4e3a\u7684\u5e38\u8bc6\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5e38\u8bc6\u6613\u4e8e\u6570\u5b66\u5904\u7406\u4e14\u5177\u6709\u7ecf\u6d4e\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  2. \n

    \u201c\u793e\u4f1a\u73b0\u8c61\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027\u3001\u5176\u8868\u73b0\u4e4b\u4e30\u5bcc\u4e0e\u591a\u6837\u3001\u53ca\u5176\u7ed3\u6784\u4e4b\u590d\u6742\uff0c\u81f3\u5c11\u4e0e\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u76f8\u5f53\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u9884\u671f\u2014\u2014\u6216\u8005\u8bf4\u662f\u62c5\u5fe7\u2014\u2014\u8981\u5728\u8fd9\u4e00\u9886\u57df\u53d6\u5f97\u51b3\u5b9a\u6027\u6210\u529f\uff0c\u9700\u8981\u7c7b\u4f3c\u4e8e\u5fae\u79ef\u5206\u90a3\u6837\u91cf\u7ea7\u7684\u6570\u5b66\u521b\u65b0\u3002\uff08\u987a\u4fbf\u8bf4\u4e00\u53e5\uff0c\u4e5f\u6b63\u662f\u57fa\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e00\u7cbe\u795e\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u5ba1\u614e\u8bc4\u4ef7\u6211\u4eec\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u52aa\u529b\u3002\uff09\u201d<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  3. \n

    \u201c\u66f4\u4e0d\u5fc5\u8bf4\uff0c\u4ec5\u4ec5\u91cd\u590d\u5728\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u4e2d\u5bf9\u6211\u4eec\u5e2e\u52a9\u5f88\u5927\u7684\u90a3\u4e9b\u6280\u5de7\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u793e\u4f1a\u73b0\u8c61\u4e5f\u540c\u6837\u9002\u7528\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u786e\u5b9e\u6781\u5176\u6e3a\u832b\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6211\u4eec\u5c06\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5728\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u8ba8\u8bba\u4e2d\u9047\u5230\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u6570\u5b66\u95ee\u9898\u4e0e\u7269\u7406\u79d1\u5b66\u4e2d\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u90a3\u4e9b\u95ee\u9898\u622a\u7136\u4e0d\u540c\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  4. \n

    \u201c\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u9996\u5148\u5bfb\u627e\u4eba\u7c7b\u884c\u4e3a\u4e2d\u90a3\u4e9b\u6700\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u3001\u53ef\u88ab\u6e05\u6670\u754c\u5b9a\u4e14\u53ef\u88ab\u6570\u5b66\u5904\u7406\u7684\u7279\u5f81\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u8bd5\u56fe\u7acb\u5373\u590d\u5236\u5728\u7ecf\u9a8c\u79d1\u5b66\u4e2d\u89c2\u5bdf\u5230\u7684\u4e00\u5207\u7ec6\u8282\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  5. \n

    \u201c\u5b8c\u5168\u7406\u6027\u5047\u8bbe\u867d\u7136\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u7406\u60f3\u5316\uff0c\u4f46\u5b83\u4e3a\u5206\u6790\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u5fc5\u8981\u7684\u57fa\u51c6\u70b9\u2014\u2014\u6b63\u5982\u65e0\u6469\u64e6\u72b6\u6001\u5728\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u4e2d\u7684\u529f\u80fd\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  6. \n

    \u201c\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u95ee\u9898\u5728\u4e8e\uff1a\u5f53\u4e00\u4e2a\u4eba\u7684\u6536\u76ca\u6070\u597d\u662f\u53e6\u4e00\u4eba\u7684\u635f\u5931\u65f6\uff0c\u7406\u6027\u884c\u4e3a\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4ec0\u4e48\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  7. \n

    \u201c\u5728\u7b56\u7565\u535a\u5f08\u4e2d\uff0c’\u7406\u6027’\u4e0d\u80fd\u88ab\u7406\u89e3\u4e3a\u5b64\u7acb\u7684\u4e2a\u4eba\u7279\u5f81\uff0c\u800c\u5fc5\u987b\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u4e00\u79cd\u5173\u7cfb\u6027\u6982\u5ff5\u2014\u2014\u5b83\u5b58\u5728\u4e8e\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u5bf9\u5f7c\u6b64\u884c\u4e3a\u7684\u9884\u671f\u4e4b\u4e2d\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  8. \n

    \u201c\u8054\u76df\u7684\u5f62\u6210\u4e0e\u74e6\u89e3\u4e0d\u662f\u5916\u751f\u7ed9\u5b9a\u7684\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u5185\u751f\u4e8e\u535a\u5f08\u7ed3\u6784\u672c\u8eab\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  9. \n

    \u201c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u884c\u4e3a\u7684\u590d\u6742\u6027\u8981\u6c42\u6211\u4eec\u627f\u8ba4\uff0c\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u56e0\u679c\u89e3\u91ca\u5f80\u5f80\u662f\u4e0d\u8db3\u591f\u7684\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u9700\u8981\u7406\u89e3\u7cfb\u7edf\u6027\u76f8\u4e92\u4f9d\u8d56\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  10. \n

    \u201c\u672c\u4e66\u6240\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u7406\u8bba\u4e0e\u6b64\u540e\u53ef\u80fd\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u4efb\u4f55\u8be6\u7ec6\u5e94\u7528\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u7c7b\u4f3c\u4e8e\u7406\u8bba\u529b\u5b66\u4e0e\u5177\u4f53\u5de5\u7a0b\u95ee\u9898\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    \u56db\u3001\u4e3b\u9898\u5206\u6790<\/h2>\n

    \u4e3b\u9898\u4e00\uff1a\u7406\u6027\u5047\u8bbe\u7684\u54f2\u5b66\u5f20\u529b\u4e0e\u8ba4\u77e5\u5c40\u9650<\/strong><\/p>\n

    \u51af\u00b7\u8bfa\u4f0a\u66fc\u4e0e\u6469\u6839\u65af\u987f\u5728\u4e66\u4e2d\u5efa\u7acb\u4e86\u4e00\u6574\u5957\u57fa\u4e8e\u201c\u5b8c\u5168\u7406\u6027\u201d\uff08perfect rationality\uff09\u7684\u7406\u8bba\u4f53\u7cfb\u3002\u5b8c\u5168\u7406\u6027\u5047\u8bbe\u5305\u62ec\uff1a\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u80fd\u591f\u51c6\u786e\u8ba1\u7b97\u6240\u6709\u7b56\u7565\u7ec4\u5408\u7684\u540e\u679c\u3001\u62e5\u6709\u5171\u540c\u7684\u77e5\u8bc6\u7ed3\u6784\u3001\u5e76\u4e14\u8ffd\u6c42\u4e00\u81f4\u7684\u504f\u597d\u6392\u5e8f\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u5047\u8bbe\u5728\u6570\u5b66\u4e0a\u4fbf\u4e8e\u5904\u7406\u2014\u2014\u5b83\u5c06\u7b56\u7565\u7a7a\u95f4\u4e0e\u6536\u76ca\u51fd\u6570\u8f6c\u5316\u4e3a\u826f\u5b9a\u4e49\u7684\u6570\u5b66\u5bf9\u8c61\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u6781\u5c0f\u6781\u5927\u5b9a\u7406\u7684\u8bc1\u660e\u6210\u4e3a\u53ef\u80fd\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u4e5f\u6df1\u523b\u5730\u610f\u8bc6\u5230\u8fd9\u4e00\u5047\u8bbe\u7684\u7406\u60f3\u5316\u6027\u8d28\u3002<\/p>\n

    \u4ece\u54f2\u5b66\u5c42\u9762\u5ba1\u89c6\uff0c\u5b8c\u5168\u7406\u6027\u5047\u8bbe\u5f15\u53d1\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u6839\u672c\u6027\u6096\u8bba\uff1a\u7406\u6027\u672c\u8eab\u5c31\u662f\u535a\u5f08\u7684\u5185\u751f\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u5916\u751f\u7ed9\u5b9a\u7684\u524d\u63d0\u3002\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u535a\u5f08\u4e2d\uff0c\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u7684\u201c\u7406\u6027\u201d\u7a0b\u5ea6\u2014\u2014\u5305\u62ec\u63a8\u7406\u80fd\u529b\u3001\u4fe1\u606f\u5904\u7406\u80fd\u529b\u3001\u5bf9\u4ed6\u4eba\u7406\u6027\u7684\u5224\u65ad\u80fd\u529b\u2014\u2014\u672c\u8eab\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u535a\u5f08\u7684\u5747\u8861\u7ed3\u679c\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\uff0c\u8bd5\u56fe\u4ee5\u5b8c\u5168\u7406\u6027\u4e3a\u8d77\u70b9\u6784\u5efa\u7684\u7406\u8bba\uff0c\u5728\u903b\u8f91\u4e0a\u5b58\u5728\u81ea\u6211\u6307\u6d89\u7684\u56f0\u5883\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u5f20\u529b\u5728\u6b64\u540e\u7eb3\u4ec0\u5747\u8861\u7684\u6f14\u5316\u7406\u8bba\u3001\u6709\u9650\u7406\u6027\u6a21\u578b\uff08bounded rationality\uff09\u4e43\u81f3\u884c\u4e3a\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u4e2d\u5f97\u5230\u4e86\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u56de\u5e94\u4e0e\u6df1\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n

    \u4f5c\u8005\u5728\u539f\u6587\u4e2d\u5199\u9053\uff1a\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u9996\u5148\u5bfb\u627e\u4eba\u7c7b\u884c\u4e3a\u4e2d\u90a3\u4e9b\u6700\u7b80\u5355\u7684\u3001\u53ef\u88ab\u6e05\u6670\u754c\u5b9a\u4e14\u53ef\u88ab\u6570\u5b66\u5904\u7406\u7684\u7279\u5f81\u3002\u201d\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5c06\u5b8c\u5168\u7406\u6027\u89c6\u4e3a\u4e00\u79cd\u65b9\u6cd5\u8bba\u4e0a\u7684\u62bd\u8c61\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u5bf9\u73b0\u5b9e\u7684\u5982\u5b9e\u63cf\u8ff0\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u52a1\u5b9e\u6001\u5ea6\u5728\u67d0\u79cd\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u7f13\u89e3\u4e86\u54f2\u5b66\u5f20\u529b\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u4e3a\u540e\u6765\u7684\u6279\u8bc4\u57cb\u4e0b\u4e86\u4f0f\u7b14\u3002<\/p>\n

    \u4e3b\u9898\u4e8c\uff1a\u4ece\u96f6\u548c\u5230\u5408\u4f5c\u7684\u8c31\u7cfb\uff1a\u793e\u4f1a\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u91cd\u6784<\/strong><\/p>\n

    \u51af\u00b7\u8bfa\u4f0a\u66fc\u4e0e\u6469\u6839\u65af\u987f\u7684\u7406\u8bba\u6784\u5efa\u4e86\u4e00\u6761\u4ece\u7eaf\u7cb9\u7ade\u4e89\u5230\u6df1\u5ea6\u5408\u4f5c\u7684\u8c31\u7cfb\u3002\u5728\u4e8c\u4eba\u96f6\u548c\u535a\u5f08\u4e2d\uff0c\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u5b8c\u5168\u5bf9\u7acb\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u4e00\u65b9\u7684\u6536\u76ca\u90fd\u610f\u5473\u7740\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u7684\u635f\u5931\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u79cd\u6781\u7aef\u60c5\u5883\u4e0b\uff0c\u7406\u6027\u884c\u4e3a\u5bfc\u5411\u6781\u5c0f\u6781\u5927\u7b56\u7565\u2014\u2014\u5373\u5728\u6700\u574f\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u4e89\u53d6\u6700\u597d\u7ed3\u679c\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u654f\u9510\u5730\u610f\u8bc6\u5230\uff0c\u73b0\u5b9e\u4e2d\u7684\u5927\u91cf\u535a\u5f08\u5e76\u975e\u96f6\u548c\u7684\uff1b\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7\u5efa\u7acb\u8054\u76df\u3001\u7b7e\u8ba2\u6709\u7ea6\u675f\u529b\u7684\u534f\u8bae\u6765\u5b9e\u73b0\u4e92\u60e0\u3002<\/p>\n

    \u5728\u5408\u4f5c\u535a\u5f08\u90e8\u5206\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u5f15\u5165\u4e86\u7279\u5f81\u51fd\u6570\u6765\u63cf\u8ff0\u8054\u76df\u7684\u5f62\u6210\u903b\u8f91\u3002\u7279\u5f81\u51fd\u6570\u6307\u5b9a\u4e86\u4efb\u4f55\u8054\u76df\u6240\u80fd\u786e\u4fdd\u83b7\u5f97\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u6536\u76ca\uff0c\u4ee5\u6b64\u8861\u91cf\u8054\u76df\u7684\u201c\u4ef7\u503c\u201d\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u4e00\u6846\u67b6\u4e0b\uff0c\u6838\u5fc3\u95ee\u9898\u53d8\u4e3a\uff1a\u5982\u4f55\u5728\u4e00\u4e2a\u7ed9\u5b9a\u7684\u7279\u5f81\u51fd\u6570\u4e0b\u627e\u5230\u4e00\u4e2a\u201c\u516c\u5e73\u201d\u7684\u6536\u76ca\u5206\u914d\uff1f\u4f5c\u8005\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u89e3\u6982\u5ff5\u2014\u2014\u6838\u3001\u7a33\u5b9a\u96c6\u7b49\u2014\u2014\u8bd5\u56fe\u56de\u7b54\u8fd9\u4e00\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u89e3\u6982\u5ff5\u5e76\u975e\u552f\u4e00\u786e\u5b9a\u7684\uff0c\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u89e3\u6982\u5ff5\u53ef\u80fd\u7ed9\u51fa\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u5206\u914d\u65b9\u6848\u3002<\/p>\n

    \u8fd9\u4e00\u7406\u8bba\u52aa\u529b\u7684\u610f\u4e49\u8d85\u8d8a\u4e86\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u672c\u8eab\u3002\u5b83\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u4e00\u79cd\u7406\u89e3\u793e\u4f1a\u7ec4\u7ec7\u7684\u5168\u65b0\u8303\u5f0f\uff1a\u793e\u4f1a\u5236\u5ea6\u3001\u5951\u7ea6\u5b89\u6392\u3001\u751a\u81f3\u9053\u5fb7\u89c4\u8303\uff0c\u90fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u88ab\u89c6\u4e3a\u535a\u5f08\u7684\u201c\u89c4\u5219\u201d\u2014\u2014\u5b83\u4eec\u754c\u5b9a\u4e86\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u7a7a\u95f4\u3001\u6536\u76ca\u7ed3\u6784\u4e0e\u4fe1\u606f\u6761\u4ef6\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u6d1e\u89c1\u6df1\u523b\u5f71\u54cd\u4e86\u6b64\u540e\u5236\u5ea6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u3001\u6cd5\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u4e43\u81f3\u653f\u6cbb\u54f2\u5b66\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u3002<\/p>\n

    \u4e94\u3001\u4e2a\u4eba\u611f\u609f<\/h2>\n

    \u9605\u8bfb\u300a\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u884c\u4e3a\u300b\uff0c\u4ee4\u4eba\u6df1\u611f\u9707\u64bc\u7684\u4e0d\u4ec5\u662f\u7406\u8bba\u672c\u8eab\u7684\u7cbe\u5999\uff0c\u66f4\u662f\u4f5c\u8005\u9762\u5bf9\u590d\u6742\u793e\u4f1a\u73b0\u8c61\u65f6\u7684\u5b66\u672f\u52c7\u6c14\u4e0e\u8c26\u900a\u3002\u51af\u00b7\u8bfa\u4f0a\u66fc\u4e0e\u6469\u6839\u65af\u987f\u4ee5\u6570\u5b66\u5bb6\u7684\u4e25\u8c28\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u7684\u654f\u9510\uff0c\u5c1d\u8bd5\u4e3a\u4eba\u7c7b\u7b56\u7565\u884c\u4e3a\u5efa\u7acb\u4e00\u5957\u7edf\u4e00\u7684\u5f62\u5f0f\u5316\u8bed\u8a00\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u201c\u786c\u6838\u201d\u4e0d\u5728\u4e8e\u56de\u907f\u590d\u6742\u6027\uff0c\u800c\u5728\u4e8e\u4ee5\u7ed3\u6784\u5316\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u5904\u7406\u590d\u6742\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n

    \u63a9\u5377\u6c89\u601d\uff0c\u543e\u8f88\u5f53\u53cd\u601d\u5f53\u4ee3\u5b66\u672f\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u201c\u6a21\u578b\u5d07\u62dc\u201d\u7684\u503e\u5411\u3002\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u6a21\u578b\u56fa\u7136\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u5206\u6790\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u4f46\u6a21\u578b\u7ec8\u7a76\u662f\u5bf9\u73b0\u5b9e\u7684\u62bd\u8c61\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u73b0\u5b9e\u672c\u8eab\u3002\u4e66\u4e2d\u6240\u8a00\u201c\u4ec5\u4ec5\u91cd\u590d\u5728\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u4e2d\u5bf9\u6211\u4eec\u5e2e\u52a9\u5f88\u5927\u7684\u90a3\u4e9b\u6280\u5de7\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u793e\u4f1a\u73b0\u8c61\u4e5f\u540c\u6837\u9002\u7528\u201d\u7684\u6000\u7591\uff0c\u81f3\u4eca\u4ecd\u6709\u8b66\u793a\u610f\u4e49\u3002\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u5bf9\u8c61\u2014\u2014\u4eba\u2014\u2014\u5e76\u975e\u51b0\u51b7\u7684\u7c92\u5b50\u6216\u62bd\u8c61\u7684\u6548\u7528\u51fd\u6570\u3002\u4eba\u5177\u6709\u60c5\u611f\u3001\u504f\u89c1\u3001\u8eab\u4efd\u8ba4\u540c\u4e0e\u5386\u53f2\u610f\u8bc6\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u56e0\u7d20\u5982\u4f55\u88ab\u7eb3\u5165\u5f62\u5f0f\u5316\u6846\u67b6\uff0c\u4ecd\u662f\u672a\u89e3\u4e4b\u9898\u3002<\/p>\n

    \u66f4\u6df1\u4e00\u5c42\u5730\uff0c\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u63ed\u793a\u4e86\u7b56\u7565\u4e92\u52a8\u7684\u7ed3\u6784\uff0c\u5374\u65e0\u6cd5\u81ea\u52a8\u544a\u8bc9\u6211\u4eec\u201c\u5e94\u5f53\u201d\u5982\u4f55\u884c\u52a8\u3002\u6781\u5c0f\u6781\u5927\u5b9a\u7406\u7ed9\u51fa\u4e86\u7406\u6027\u884c\u4e3a\u7684\u903b\u8f91\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u4f46\u5b83\u4e0d\u56de\u7b54\u4ef7\u503c\u5224\u65ad\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u5728\u96f6\u548c\u535a\u5f08\u4e2d\uff0c\u7406\u6027\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u5411\u51b7\u9177\u7684\u7b97\u8ba1\uff1b\u5728\u5408\u4f5c\u535a\u5f08\u4e2d\uff0c\u7406\u6027\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u5411\u5229\u76ca\u7684\u5747\u8861\u5206\u914d\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u7406\u6027\u672c\u8eab\u4e0d\u80fd\u544a\u8bc9\u6211\u4eec\uff1a\u4ec0\u4e48\u662f\u516c\u6b63\u7684\uff1f\u4ec0\u4e48\u662f\u503c\u5f97\u8ffd\u6c42\u7684\uff1f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u95ee\u9898\u4ecd\u7136\u9700\u8981\u4f26\u7406\u5b66\u3001\u653f\u6cbb\u54f2\u5b66\u4e0e\u4eba\u7c7b\u667a\u6167\u7684\u53c2\u4e0e\u3002<\/p>\n

    \u516d\u3001\u65b9\u6cd5\u8bba\u8054\u7cfb<\/h2>\n

    \u300a\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u884c\u4e3a\u300b\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u8fdb\u8def\uff0c\u4e0e\u5112\u5b66\u3001\u897f\u65b9\u54f2\u5b66\u53ca\u79d1\u5b66\u65b9\u6cd5\u8bba\u5f62\u6210\u4e86\u6df1\u523b\u7684\u5bf9\u8bdd\u5173\u7cfb\u3002<\/p>\n

    \u4ece\u5112\u5b66\u89c6\u89d2\u770b\uff0c\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u662f\u201c\u4e49\u5229\u4e4b\u8fa8\u201d\u7684\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u6761\u4ef6\u3002\u5b54\u5b50\u66f0\u201c\u541b\u5b50\u55bb\u4e8e\u4e49\uff0c\u5c0f\u4eba\u55bb\u4e8e\u5229\u201d\uff0c\u770b\u4f3c\u4e0e\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u8ba1\u7b97\u622a\u7136\u5bf9\u7acb\uff0c\u5b9e\u5219\u5171\u4eab\u4e00\u4e2a\u9690\u542b\u7684\u5173\u5207\uff1a\u4eba\u7684\u884c\u4e3a\u5982\u4f55\u5728\u7279\u5b9a\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u7ed3\u6784\u4e2d\u83b7\u5f97\u610f\u4e49\u3002\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u523b\u753b\u4e86\u201c\u5229\u201d\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u7a7a\u95f4\uff0c\u800c\u5112\u5b66\u8ffd\u95ee\u7684\u662f\u201c\u4e49\u201d\u7684\u8d85\u8d8a\u7ef4\u5ea6\u3002\u4e24\u8005\u5e76\u975e\u4e0d\u53ef\u901a\u7ea6\u2014\u2014\u5f53\u4ee3\u5112\u5bb6\u653f\u6cbb\u54f2\u5b66\uff08\u5982\u9ec4\u5b97\u7fb2\u3001\u5f90\u590d\u89c2\u4e00\u8109\uff09\u5c1d\u8bd5\u5728\u5236\u5ea6\u8bbe\u8ba1\u4e2d\u878d\u5165\u9053\u5fb7\u8003\u91cf\uff0c\u4e0e\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u7684\u5236\u5ea6\u5206\u6790\u5f62\u6210\u4e92\u8865\u3002<\/p>\n

    \u5728\u897f\u65b9\u54f2\u5b66\u8109\u7edc\u4e2d\uff0c\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u4e0e\u5eb7\u5fb7\u7684\u5b9e\u8df5\u7406\u6027\u6279\u5224\u5f62\u6210\u4e86\u6709\u8da3\u7684\u547c\u5e94\u3002\u5eb7\u5fb7\u533a\u5206\u4e86\u201c\u5047\u8a00\u547d\u4ee4\u201d\uff08\u624b\u6bb5-\u76ee\u7684\u63a8\u7406\uff09\u4e0e\u201c\u5b9a\u8a00\u547d\u4ee4\u201d\uff08\u65e0\u6761\u4ef6\u5f8b\u4ee4\uff09\uff0c\u800c\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u4e2d\u7684\u201c\u7406\u6027\u201d\u66f4\u63a5\u8fd1\u524d\u8005\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u63ed\u793a\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u5eb7\u5fb7\u53ef\u80fd\u4f4e\u4f30\u7684\u590d\u6742\u6027\uff1a\u5728\u591a\u5143\u884c\u52a8\u8005\u7684\u4ea4\u4e92\u60c5\u5883\u4e2d\uff0c\u7eaf\u7cb9\u7684\u5b9a\u8a00\u547d\u4ee4\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u5411\u5b9e\u8df5\u56f0\u5883\u2014\u2014\u4f8b\u5982\u201c\u603b\u662f\u8bf4\u5b9e\u8bdd\u201d\u7684\u9053\u5fb7\u5f8b\u4ee4\u5728\u56da\u5f92\u56f0\u5883\u4e2d\u53ef\u80fd\u5bfc\u81f4\u96c6\u4f53\u53d7\u635f\u3002\u8fd9\u4e00\u5f20\u529b\u63a8\u52a8\u4e86\u5bf9\u9053\u5fb7\u57fa\u7840\u7684\u65b0\u601d\u8003\uff1a\u8d85\u8d8a\u7a0b\u5e8f\u7406\u6027\u7684\u4f26\u7406\u5efa\u6784\u5982\u4f55\u53ef\u80fd\uff1f<\/p>\n

    \u4ece\u79d1\u5b66\u65b9\u6cd5\u8bba\u770b\uff0c\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u4f53\u73b0\u4e86\u516c\u7406\u5316\u8fdb\u8def\u7684\u6781\u81f4\u8ffd\u6c42\u3002\u51af\u00b7\u8bfa\u4f0a\u66fc\u4ee5\u5e0c\u5c14\u4f2f\u7279\u7684\u5b66\u751f\u81ea\u671f\uff0c\u5c06\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u5efa\u7acb\u5728\u5c11\u6570\u51e0\u4e2a\u516c\u7406\u4e4b\u4e0a\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u903b\u8f91\u6f14\u7ece\u5bfc\u51fa\u5b9a\u7406\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u8fdb\u8def\u4e0e\u7269\u7406\u5b66\u4e2d\u7684\u201c\u7edf\u4e00\u573a\u8bba\u201d\u8ffd\u6c42\u4e00\u8109\u76f8\u627f\u2014\u2014\u4ee5\u5c11\u6570\u57fa\u672c\u539f\u5219\u7edf\u6444\u7eb7\u7e41\u73b0\u8c61\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u793e\u4f1a\u73b0\u8c61\u7684\u201c\u6d4b\u4e0d\u51c6\u201d\u7a0b\u5ea6\u8fdc\u9ad8\u4e8e\u7269\u7406\u4e16\u754c\uff0c\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u6709\u6548\u6027\u5f80\u5f80\u4f9d\u8d56\u4e8e\u5bf9\u60c5\u5883\u7684\u9ad8\u5ea6\u7b80\u5316\u3002\u6ce2\u666e\u5c14\u7684\u8bc1\u4f2a\u4e3b\u4e49\u5728\u6b64\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u65b0\u7684\u5e94\u7528\u7ef4\u5ea6\uff1a\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\u4e0d\u5728\u4e8e\u5176\u201c\u771f\u201d\uff0c\u800c\u5728\u4e8e\u5176\u53ef\u88ab\u7ecf\u9a8c\u68c0\u9a8c\u5e76\u53ef\u80fd\u88ab\u8bc1\u4f2a\u2014\u2014\u8fd9\u662f\u7406\u8bba\u8fdb\u6b65\u7684\u6761\u4ef6\u3002<\/p>\n

    \u4e03\u3001\u540e\u7eed\u8ba1\u5212<\/h2>\n

    \u57fa\u4e8e\u672c\u4e66\u7684\u9605\u8bfb\u4e0e\u53cd\u601d\uff0c\u62df\u8ba2\u4ee5\u4e0b\u540e\u7eed\u5b66\u4e60\u4e0e\u5b9e\u8df5\u8ba1\u5212\uff1a<\/p>\n

    \uff08\u4e00\uff09\u7406\u8bba\u6df1\u8015<\/strong><\/p>\n

      \n
    1. \u7cfb\u7edf\u7814\u8bfb\u7eb3\u4ec0\u7684\u539f\u521b\u8bba\u6587\u53ca\u540e\u7ee7\u53d1\u5c55\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u7eb3\u4ec0\u5747\u8861\u7684\u5b58\u5728\u6027\u8bc1\u660e\u3001\u8fdb\u5316\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u5bf9\u5747\u8861\u9009\u62e9\u95ee\u9898\u7684\u56de\u5e94\u3001\u4ee5\u53ca\u884c\u4e3a\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u5bf9\u5b8c\u5168\u7406\u6027\u5047\u8bbe\u7684\u4fee\u6b63\u3002<\/li>\n
    2. \u5ef6\u4f38\u9605\u8bfb\u963f\u91cc\u5c14\u00b7\u9c81\u5bbe\u65af\u5766\uff08Ariel Rubinstein\uff09\u7684\u300a\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u6559\u7a0b\u300b\u4e0e\u7f57\u4f2f\u7279\u00b7\u5965\u66fc\uff08Robert Aumann\uff09\u7684\u4ea4\u4e92\u7406\u6027\u7406\u8bba\uff0c\u6df1\u5316\u5bf9\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u54f2\u5b66\u57fa\u7840\u7684\u7406\u89e3\u3002<\/li>\n
    3. \u5b66\u4e60\u5408\u4f5c\u535a\u5f08\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u89e3\u6982\u5ff5\u2014\u2014\u6838\u3001\u7a33\u5b9a\u96c6\u3001\u6c99\u666e\u5229\u503c\uff08Shapley value\uff09\u2014\u2014\u7684\u6570\u5b66\u63a8\u5bfc\u4e0e\u5b9e\u9645\u5e94\u7528\u6848\u4f8b\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

      \uff08\u4e8c\uff09\u8de8\u5b66\u79d1\u5e94\u7528<\/strong><\/p>\n

        \n
      1. \u7ed3\u5408\u56fd\u9645\u5173\u7cfb\u4e13\u4e1a\u80cc\u666f\uff0c\u9605\u8bfb\u8c22\u6797\uff08Thomas Schelling\uff09\u7684\u300a\u51b2\u7a81\u7684\u6218\u7565\u300b\uff0c\u5206\u6790\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u5728\u519b\u5907\u7ade\u8d5b\u3001\u5916\u4ea4\u8c08\u5224\u4e0e\u5a01\u6151\u6218\u7565\u4e2d\u7684\u5177\u4f53\u5e94\u7528\u3002<\/li>\n
      2. \u7814\u8bfb\u5236\u5ea6\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u7684\u7ecf\u5178\u6587\u732e\uff08\u5a01\u5ec9\u59c6\u68ee\u3001\u8bfa\u65af\uff09\uff0c\u63a2\u8ba8\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u4e0e\u5236\u5ea6\u5206\u6790\u7684\u878d\u5408\u8def\u5f84\u3002<\/li>\n
      3. \u5173\u6ce8\u884c\u4e3a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u4e0e\u5b9e\u9a8c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bf9\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u7684\u7ecf\u9a8c\u68c0\u9a8c\uff0c\u7279\u522b\u662f\u6700\u540e\u901a\u7252\u535a\u5f08\u3001\u4fe1\u4efb\u535a\u5f08\u7b49\u5b9e\u9a8c\u8303\u5f0f\u7684\u53d1\u73b0\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

        \uff08\u4e09\uff09\u65b9\u6cd5\u8bba\u53cd\u601d<\/strong><\/p>\n

          \n
        1. \u64b0\u5199\u4e00\u7bc73000\u5b57\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u8bba\u53cd\u601d\u6587\u7ae0\uff0c\u9898\u76ee\u6682\u5b9a\u4e3a\u300a\u7406\u6027\u5047\u8bbe\u7684\u8fb9\u754c\uff1a\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u4e0e\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u9650\u5ea6\u300b\u3002<\/li>\n
        2. \u5728\u65e5\u5e38\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\uff0c\u8b66\u60d5\u201c\u6a21\u578b\u5148\u884c\u201d\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u8bba\u504f\u89c1\uff0c\u575a\u6301\u4ece\u7ecf\u9a8c\u73b0\u8c61\u51fa\u53d1\u6784\u5efa\u7406\u8bba\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u4ee5\u6a21\u578b\u88c1\u526a\u73b0\u5b9e\u3002<\/li>\n
        3. \u5c1d\u8bd5\u5c06\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u601d\u7ef4\u7eb3\u5165\u6559\u5b66\u5b9e\u8df5\uff0c\u8bbe\u8ba1\u82e5\u5e72\u7b56\u7565\u4e92\u52a8\u7684\u8bfe\u5802\u5b9e\u9a8c\uff0c\u6fc0\u53d1\u5b66\u751f\u5bf9\u793e\u4f1a\u73b0\u8c61\u590d\u6742\u6027\u7684\u76f4\u89c2\u7406\u89e3\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

          \uff08\u56db\uff09\u5b9e\u8df5\u884c\u52a8<\/strong><\/p>\n

            \n
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          3. \u5c06\u535a\u5f08\u8bba\u7684\u6d1e\u89c1\u878d\u5165\u4e2a\u4eba\u51b3\u7b56\u5b9e\u8df5\u2014\u2014\u7279\u522b\u662f\u5728\u6d89\u53ca\u591a\u65b9\u535a\u5f08\u7684\u60c5\u5883\u4e2d\uff0c\u5b66\u4f1a\u8bc6\u522b\u201c\u6781\u5c0f\u6781\u5927\u201d\u7b56\u7565\u7684\u9002\u7528\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u8b66\u60d5\u8fc7\u5ea6\u7406\u6027\u5316\u5bf9\u4eba\u9645\u4fe1\u4efb\u4e0e\u4f26\u7406\u627f\u8bfa\u7684\u4fb5\u8680\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n
            \n
            \n

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